Editor's Note: Today's post comes to us courtesy of guest contributor Tony Bergmann-Porter.
I don’t think there’s anyone left to argue that the Pay Transparency train isn’t leaving the station, so we need to start thinking and talking about what this will mean for those of us who have to live with the consequences.
We know that pay transparency inevitably leads to flattening and compression effects (see here for example), and also that these effects may not be altogether a Bad Thing (see here for example).
It’s also clear that merit budgets will be small and flat for the foreseeable future, to the point that it will remain extraordinarily difficult to provide meaningful performance-differentiated pay increases – assuming that it will even be culturally or legally acceptable to do so in the first place.
However, none of this will obviate the need for the attraction, motivation and retention of the talent necessary to compete. And the incentives to get performance management right – which are already considerable in a globalized/first mover advantage/tournament economy - are going to be even greater if base pay ceases to be one of the levers to pull.
So let me suggest the outlines of a 21st century reward model that I expect to take shape in response to these conditions (and obviously, I’m talking about primary labor market white-collar jobs with mid – large size organizations):
1) It will be extremely difficult to get in. Selection processes will not merely be rigorous; companies will openly publicize and make a very big deal about their selectivity. Just as it does now with elite colleges, the selection/rejection ratio will actually play a role in ranking organizations as great - and therefore very desirable - places to work. (Google does this already. )
2) Performance appraisal will be continuous, 360 degree, and closely monitored by both machines and humans. I foresee some form of data mining of calendars, project plans and other forms of electronic communication to identify those with whom you interact, with corresponding push requirements for performance feedback, both immediate, and at one or more future points in time. Algorithms will identify current or impending deficiency, and perhaps even whether an intervention is likely to have positive results. Individuals who are not expected to be remediated will be, with varying degrees of kindness, removed from the team.
3) Obviously, there will continue to be a market against which pay can and will be benchmarked, and pay levels set, but base pay in private sector organizations will structurally resemble the Federal Government’s GS schedule. That is to say, there will be a transparent step-and-grade arrangement under which the base pay of all similarly-situated employees will be identical, with differences based solely on tenure. The steps will provide for modest maturity curves in the organization, but given the rate of technological change, I doubt there will be very many steps per grade below the upper 25% of grades. The only exceptions will be identical “hot skill” premiums for similarly-situated employees.
4) Because base pay for the very highest performers will not differ from the base pay of their organizational peers, there will necessarily be other ways of recognizing and “compensating” top performers. I expect these to be organizationally and ethnoculturally –specific, and that they include access to/mentorship from senior management; fast-track promotion; restricted developmental opportunities (company-paid education, international assignments); the opportunity to serve on or lead high-visibility teams; assignments to work on the next big next big thing; and so on. Participation in LTIP and equity plans may likewise be restricted. Needless to say, all indivisible prizes will be scrupulously examined for demographic equity.
5) Most variable pay will be team-based, and teams will determine the allocation of such pay to their members. In turn, that will typically result in equal distributions, whether proportional or per capita. I do not expect to see these kinds of changes in Sales Compensation plans.
6) As soon as one of the big kahunas (GE, GIS, GOOG, GS) adopts this approach, you will see the same rush to follow suit that happened when MSFT dropped stock options in favor of restricted stock in the 1990s.
How does all this strike you – likely and reasonable, or far-fetched and preposterous? Have at it.
Tony Bergmann-Porter is the Principal and Owner of Yale Associates LLC, a compensation consulting and contracting entity. He has many years' professional experience in compensation and total rewards, and is the 2014 President-Elect of the Twin Cities Compensation Network, the leading WorldatWork Local Network partner. Tony holds a BBA and BA from the University of New Brunswick, and an MAHRIR from the Carlson School of Management. He also holds CCP, CSCP and SPHR certifications. He enjoys track days and autocrossing with his Corvette.
Image "Hand Holding Snow Globe " courtesy of janaan /FreeDigitalPhotos.net
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